The Socceroos are learning more about their potential World Cup fate this morning, before their showdown with Paraguay.
Live updates from matchday 15 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup below!
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Friday June 26’s World Cup schedule
Match 55 – Group E – Curacao vs Cote d’Ivoire – 6am, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Match 56 – Group E – Ecuador vs Germany – 6am, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford (New York)
Match 57 – Group F – Japan vs Sweden – 9am, AT&T Stadium, Arlington (Dallas)
Match 58 – Group F – Tunisia vs Netherlands – 9am, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Match 59 – Group D – Turkiye vs USA – 12pm, SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
Match 60 – Group D – Paraguay vs Australia – 12pm, Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara (San Francisco)
THE RESULTS AUSTRALIA WANTS ON FRIDAY
Before their decisive clash with Paraguay (12pm AEST), the Socceroos will learn more about their chances of advancing with a loss.
Heading into Friday, they were given an estimated 91% chance of making the knockout stage – 100% with a win or draw, and 80% with a loss. But that could change dramatically when Group E and Group F play their final games this morning.
Group E (6am): Australia doesn’t want to see Ecuador or Curacao, who are currently on 1 point each, record upset wins over Germany or Cote d’Ivoire respectively.
A win for either Ecuador or Curacao would cut the Socceroos’ overall chances of advancing to around 85% (and around 67% with a loss to Paraguay). Wins for both Germany and Cote d’Ivoire would boost the Socceroos’ chances to 94% (and 86% with a loss to Paraguay) given it would eliminate a third-placer.
Germany, locked in as the Group E winner before Friday’s games, is the opponent for third place in Group D (Australia or Paraguay) in 94% of advancement scenarios.
Group F (9am): The only relevant result would be Japan winning by as much as possible over Sweden, who are currently even with Australia on 3 points with an even goal difference, but with more goals scored (the secondary tiebreaker).
Sweden winning would have a very minor negative impact on the Socceroos.
Live updates from matchday 15 at the World Cup below!